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Monetary History & Bonds Short
Given your training in historical economics and sovereign debt, we detected a classic situation of private credit bubble (US 2008) kicked up at the sovereign level, with socialized losses, then a gov bond bubble with monetization morphing into an inflationary bubble 2021-?. We had in Q1 2023 a duration shock that has cuffed the Fed otherwise more banks’ would have to disorge USTs into BTFP. We are in a fiscal dominance regime. As soon as 2013 we expected the money printing to end into a duration problem based on historical precedents.
PLAY 📺: The Bonds Bubble
PLAY 📺: Return In Kind & Return in Money
PLAY 📺: Squishiness of currencies during war
PLAY 📺: Crowding out
PLAY 📺: Credit Gradient
PLAY 📺: Term Premium
PLAY 📺: Front-running an event on the Currency?
PLAY 📺: Fed's job is not to obstruct the inflation tax
PLAY 📺: New Inflation Target
PLAY 📺: Term Premium predicts the past
Abnormal Economics & $Oil Price
The $Oil price is determined by the marginal producer. Shale represents of new technology of extraction for existing oil fields, in a way similar to Cyanide was for Gold Deposits, extending the recoverability. The shale boom was characterized by an overinvestment cycle that translated into ROCE at 2% for the industry, a price of $Oil subsidized by over investment. With the price caps and the SPR we decided to investigate if in fact the $Oil price not repressed back in Q2 2023.
Antitrust Economics for Equities
If you want abnormal return for buy and hold, you need business with abnormal profits. Over 15 years of special situations and merger arbitrage analysis gave us the opportunity to review antitrust economics of many companies as part of the regulatory approval approval. That is how he discovered the many variations and subtleties of a truely fascinating topic: Antitrust Economics. In other words the many details that make a company able to earn an abnormally high Return on Capital Employed.
Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.
Winston Churchill.
You can't afford that with your money.
Focused on Success
Our mission is to break down complexity for our clients and make critical information transparent, actionable. Our unique visual technology from our Parent GraphCall, Inc has already been adopted by the Stock Exchange of Colombia and the Supreme court of Brazil.
Happy Clients across the GraphCall, Inc companies, including the Stock Exchange of Colombia and the Supreme Court of Brazil.
Mappings More than a thousand entities’ boards, management or ownership structures in 3 languages (English, Portuguese and French) Mandarin is scheduled for Q4 2023
Years of experience Our founders has seen 4 bear markets on WallStreet. His team has invested in Capital Markets in East-Asia South-East Asia, Europe and Russia, South Africa North and South America
3-Awards 1-patent approved The Technology used by GraphCall,Inc.'s companies made the Tech Column for the 30 years anniversary of IR (investor relations) Magazine New York.
Frequently Asked Questions
We have laid out the most common questions, however should you have more question, do not hesitate to contact us with the chat or by email sales@graphfinancials.com
Team
Check Our Team
Geoffrey Fouvry
Chief Executive OfficerGeoffrey Fouvry started his Career in Capital Markets in 2000 as risk arbitrager at York Asset Management ending his tenure as head of Research with a 14 years streak without loss. He then founded GraphCall and docutalk.io a Company that created a New Visual Recording Technology Based on “REDO” as opposed to pixels recording (Video basically) that received several awards and an approved patent.
Martin Tixier
Institutional RelationshipsMr. Tixier previously served as Senior Fixed Income Investment Specialist for CANDRIAM. Martin is a certified CISI Level 3 FCA (Financial Conduct Authority) in Regulation, Securities and Derivatives and also has the ACI Dealing Certificate with distinction, winning the Best of Six Sigma Award while working at Bank of America for 7 years.
Mr. Tixier graduated ESSEC & ISC; he regularly lectures post graduate students on banking regulations & accounting, credit, interest rates and credit trading strategies. Mr Tixier is a contributor to independent research company OHM research and the author of the blog “Macronomics” launched in December 2009 discussing Macro trends credit.
Marcus Santos
CTOMarcus Santos is the CTO across the Companies of GraphCall, Inc. He is a Champion of Mathematics in Brazil. He graduated from ITA (Aeronautic Institute of Brazil. He has worked with 3G Capital from Paulo Lehmann, a Company that collaborated on several acquisitions with Berkshire Hathaway. He has worked with many Technology Companies in Europe, North and South America.
Contact
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